In 2008, nobody escaped the traumatic effect of the corn-bubble. The ill-conceived and panic-driven notion of putting food in our gas tanks caused not a ripple, but a disastrous avalanche of food inflation unseen in nearly thirty years. I’ll guide readers to my July 2008 post for the details around this. In the end, our country saw a 6.6% jump in food inflation during 2008 causing consumers to tighten their wallets and annihilating our restaurant industry.

There is a direct correlation to the 2008 panic and fuel prices. As oil futures and retail gas prices escalated, so did that of corn, thus resulting in a corn bubble. Farmers were planting plenty of ethanol-doomed corn and not much of anything else. I say “doomed” as much of the corn sat in silos against a refining bottleneck and ultimately became rancid.

Now that the oil bubble has burst, so has the corn bubble. We can expect to see the results of this in 2009 as farm fields are freed up to again plant some of the other commodity staples. We have already observed the following commodity price declines:

Corn: -33.6%

Soybeans: -39.3%

Wheat: -68%

While we’re still seeing major food manufactures hold the line on pricing, we should see some softening on the wholesale and retail front in the near future. This means lower costs and improved profits for our struggling restaurant industry AND lower prices at the grocery store and more discretionary money in every one’s pockets.